Our Predictions For 2024
Our Predictions For 2024. To build our poll tracker, we adapted the work of political scientists simon jackman and luke mansillo, of the university of sydney, and jack bailey, of the university of manchester. After recording the accuracy of the resulting predictions, we repeat this cycle 100 times, using a different degree of shrinkage each time.
As we just learned during what was expected to be a. We make our predictions for 2024 in the context of this year’s developments.
